Despite having some of the world's most densely populated and
vulnerable coastlines, Indian Ocean sea level variability over the past
century is poorly understood relative to other ocean basins, primarily due
to the short and sparse observational records. In an attempt to overcome the
limitations imposed by the lack of adequate observations, a new multivariate
reconstruction framework was developed that uses sea level pressure and sea
surface temperature in addition to sea level data to reconstruct 20th
century Indian Ocean sea level variability. Basis functions computed over
the Indian Ocean and generated using Cyclostationary Empirical Orthogonal
Functions help to capture regional variability, leading to an improvement in
the reconstructed sea level estimates. The biggest advantage of using this
multivariate reconstruction technique lies in its ability to reconstruct
Indian Ocean sea level for the first half of the 20th century. This will
enable future studies to help improve the understanding of how sea level
trends and variability can be modulated by internal climate variability in
the Indian Ocean. Sea level over the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) is known to
be modulated by the climate modes of Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño
Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Using this newly reconstructed sea level
dataset, the dominant mode of sea level variability over the TIO is shown to
be related to concurrent IOD-ENSO events. Concurrent events produce a very
strong sea level response with a spatial pattern opposite to that of the
prevailing climatology and can persist for up to six months, having
important dynamical implications. Additionally, a trend mode was also
obtained, which is likely related to the increase in occurrence of positive
IOD events over the 20th century. These results seek to quantify the impact
of climate modes on sea level variability over the Indian Ocean with the
ultimate goal of helping the adaptation and mitigation efforts in the highly
populated Indian Ocean rim countries facing the threat of sea level rise.
Praveen Kumar is a Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Ocean, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at ODU (Dr. Tal Ezer, advisor) and part of the CCPO team working with Dr. Benjamin Hamlington. Using sea level reconstructions, his research seeks to quantify the impact of climate modes on sea level variability in the Indian Ocean. Praveen received his M.S. in Marine Sciences (Physical Oceanography) from Goa University, Goa, India in 2012. He then worked as a Junior Research Fellow at the CSIR-National Institute of Oceanography in Goa, India (2012-14) on the spatial and vertical variability of the SST seasonal cycle in the Northern Indian Ocean before joining ODU. The ultimate goal of his research is to help aid adaptation and mitigation efforts of sea level rise along the Indian Ocean rim countries.
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