The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are the largest
reservoir of freshwater on Earth, and the dominant source of uncertainty
when projecting sea level. Remote sensed observations have revealed that
the contemporary ice sheets are losing mass, and that their current
contribution to sea level is accelerating. Whether the rate of sea
level rise from the ice sheets will continue at the same pace, or what
future sea level should our society prepare for, are questions that are
very tricky to answer. In this presentation, I review the challenges
faced by ice sheet models, along with the developments that are required
to make meaningful projections of Greenland and Antarctica on the
timescale of the next IPCC assessment report. Finally, I will introduce
the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6), which
has the key objective of improving projections of sea level from the
Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, along with increasing our
understanding of the cryosphere in a changing climate. These goals map
into both "Melting Ice and Global Consequence" and "Regional Sea-level
Change" Grand Challenges relevant to the World Climate Research
Program.
Dr. Sophie Nowicki is a Research Scientist in the Cryospheric Sciences Laboratory at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). Her research interests relate to ice sheet modeling (at various spatial scales) and their contribution to sea level rise in a warming climate. She currently leads an effort to couple ice sheet models to the two NASA climate models (GEOS5 and ModelE), and a NASA interdisciplinary effort to understand the causes, impacts and feedbacks of contemporary changes in the Arctic. Sophie previously co-led the Sea-level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution (SeaRISE) community effort that targeted the IPCC AR5, and currently leads the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). She was a science team member for NASA's Operation IceBridge and is currently a science team member for the NASA Sea Level Change Team. Sophie obtained a PhD in theoretical glaciology from the University College London and an MSc in Remote Sensing and Image Processing from the University of Edinburgh.
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